"ABPW10 PGTW 190600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/190600Z-200600ZJUL2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n13.1N 119.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 118.0E, APPROXIMATELY 179 NM \r\nWEST-SOUTHWEST OF MANILA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\nDEPICTS A BROAD, WEAKLY-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH \r\nDISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE WEST. A 190124Z MHS \r\n89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS CURVED BANDING OVER THE WESTERN SEMI-\r\nCIRCLE, WITH A WEAKLY DEFINED LLC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A \r\nFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (05-15KTS) \r\nVWS, GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM (29-30C) SSTS. GLOBAL \r\nDETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 91W WILL STEER \r\nWEST-NORTHWESTWARD AS IT CONTINUES TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN OVER NEXT 48 \r\nHOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 \r\nKNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. \r\nTHE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n11.8N 133.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 132.7E, APPROXIMATELY 527 NM \r\nNORTHEAST OF DAVAO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS \r\nA BROAD, WEAKLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH PERSISTENT \r\nCONVECTION TO THE NORTHWEST. A 190416Z GMI 89GHZ COLOR COMPOSITE \r\nMICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS CONVECTION CONSOLIDATING OVER THE WESTERN SEMI-\r\nCIRCLE WITH A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LLC. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES \r\n92W IS LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND \r\nSHEAR (10-15KT), GOOD POLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM SSTS \r\n(30C). GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THAT 92W WILL CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN A \r\nNORTHWESTWARD TRACK AS IT INTENSIFIES QUICKLY OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."