"ABPW10 PGTW 250600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/250600Z-260600ZJUL2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/250151ZJUL2024//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 6.8N \r\n135.4E, APPROXIMATELY 58.5 NM SOUTHEAST OF PALAU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL \r\nSATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A BROAD SLIGHTLY OBSCURED LOW LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH PERSISTENT CONVECTIVE FLARING ON THE \r\nNORTHERN PERIPHERY RESPECTIVELY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS FAVORABLE \r\nCONDITIONS FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OF INVEST 95W WITH WARM (29-30C) SST, \r\nWEAK UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW DUE TO THE DOMINANT PRESENCE OF TY 05W, AND LOW \r\nTO MODERATE (15-20KTS) VWS. DETERMINISTIC MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS POOR \r\nAGREEMENT ON DEVELOPMENT CYCLE OF 95W WITH GFS AND NAVGEM SHOWING \r\nDISTURBANCE STRENGTH BY TAU 60 WHILE ECMWF LEANING MORE ON THE LOWER \r\nSIDE WITH JUST TROUGHING, BUT THERE IS STILL HOPE WITH ALL AGREEING ON A \r\nRELATIVELY NORTHWESTWARD TRACK SIMILAR TO 05W. GEFS AND ECENS ENSEMBLES \r\nSHOW STRONG MEMBER SIGNATURES THROUGHOUT WITH GOOD AGREEMENT ON A \r\nNORTHWESTWARD TRACK AS WELL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE \r\nESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO \r\nBE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."