"ABIO10 PGTW 301800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN \r\nOCEAN/301800ZAPR2024-011800ZMAY2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n6.7S 46.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.5S 45.3E, APPROXIMATELY 283 NM NORTH-\r\nNORTHEAST OF COMOROS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A \r\nSSMIS 301532Z 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT FLARING CONVECTION ALONG THE \r\nPERIPHERY OF A BROAD AREA OF TURNING ASSOCIATED WITH A SLOWLY \r\nCONSOLIDATING LLCC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES OVERALL FAVORABLE \r\nCONDITIONS WITH GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM SSTS (29-30C) SLIGHTLY \r\nOFFSET BY LIGHT EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15KTS). GLOBAL \r\nDETERMINISTIC MODELS DEPICT A SLOW INTENSIFICATION OF DEVELOPMENT OVER \r\nTHE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE LOW TRACKS SLOWLY WESTWARD OFF THE COAST OF \r\nTANZANIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 \r\nKNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS."