"ABPW10 PGTW 010000\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/010000Z-010600ZJUL2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n15.2N 134.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 127.4E, APPROXIMATELY 232 NM \r\nEAST-NORTHEAST OF LEGAZPI. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) \r\nDEPICTS A SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) \r\nWITH BUILDING CONVECTION THROUGHOUT THE CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, A RECENT \r\n300028Z ASCAT-C PASS PORTRAYS THE SUSPECTED AREA TO BE A BROAD AREA OF \r\nTROUGHING. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A HIGHLY FAVORABLE \r\nENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW LEVEL VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) \r\nOF 10-15 KNOTS, GOOD DUAL-CHANNEL UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WARM SEA \r\nSURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) OF 30-31 C. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE \r\nMODELS INDICATE LOW LIKELIHOOD OF DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 21.4N \r\n148.2E, APPROXIMATELY 504 NM SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO. ANIMATED \r\nMULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) AND A 301600Z AMSR2 89 GHZ IMAGE \r\nDEPICT A POORLY ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OBSCURED \r\nBY FLARING CONVECTION ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR \r\nDEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) SOUTHERLY VERTICAL WIND \r\nSHEAR OFFSET BY WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND STRONG \r\nPOLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) \r\nCELL TO THE WEST OF THE LLCC IS THE MAIN CAUSE OF THE ELEVATED SHEAR \r\nON THE SYSTEM.  GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN FAIR \r\nAGREEMENT THAT 90W WILL CONTINUE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD WITH MARGINAL \r\nDEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nFORMATION OF A MONSOON DEPRESSION.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS \r\nARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(2)//"