"ABPW10 PGTW 100600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/100600Z-110600ZJUL2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 20.6N \r\n142.2E, APPROXIMATELY 169 NM SOUTH OF IWO TO. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A POORLY ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER \r\n(LLCC) OBSCURED BY FLARING CONVECTION THAT IS SHEARED FROM THE EAST. A \r\n092329Z ASCAT PASS REVEALS AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH ITS STRONGEST \r\nWINDS ISOLATED TO THE SOUTH. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA \r\nINDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO \r\nMODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (30-31 C) AND MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL \r\nDETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT THE AREA OF CONVECTION \r\n93W WILL CONTINUE NORTH AS IT GRADUALLY INTENSIFIES OVER THE NEXT 72 \r\nHOURS. ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE AGREES ON A NORTHEASTWARD TRACK WITH ECENS \r\nBEING MORE AGGRESSIVE ON DEVELOPMENT THAN THE GEFS.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL \r\nPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nIS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"