"ABPW10 PGTW 101800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/101800Z-110600ZJUL2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n20.6N 142.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 141.8E, APPROXIMATELY 99 NM \r\nSOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF IWO TO. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A COMPACT, CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION \r\nCENTER (LLCC) OBSCURED BY FLARING CONVECTION DIRECTLY OVER THE CENTER. \r\nA 101131Z METOP-B ASCAT PASS REVEALS AN ILL-DEFINED CIRCULATION WITH \r\nELEVATED (25-30KT) SOUTHERLY WINDS ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY \r\nBEGINNING TO WRAP INTO THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA \r\nINDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE \r\n(15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE NORTHWEST, WARM SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (29-30 C) AND MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL \r\nDETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON A NORTHWARD \r\nTRACK WITH MARGINAL INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH ECENS \r\nBEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE OVERALL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE \r\nESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED \r\nTO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 25.9N \r\n126.8E, APPROXIMATELY 59 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB. ANIMATED \r\nENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS AN ELONGATED AREA OF \r\nCYCLONIC TURNING WITH SPARSE CONVECTION FLARING TO THE NORTHEAST OF \r\nTHE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). FURTHERMORE, A 101313Z ASCAT METOP-B \r\nPASS EMPHASIZES THE BROAD NATURE OF 92W. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nINDICATES 92W IS IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT \r\nWITH WARM (29 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, MODERATE TO HIGH (20-25 \r\nKTS) WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW TO \r\nTHE EAST OF THE SYSTEM. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE \r\nIN FAIR AGREEMENT ON A NORTHWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS, WITH \r\nGFS BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE IN TERMS OF INTENSITY. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nIS LOW.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO MEDIUM \r\nAND ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA 1.B.(2).//"