"ABPW10 PGTW 141930\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/141930Z-150600ZJUL2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/140152ZJUL2025//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/141351ZJUL2025//\r\nREF/C/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/141921ZJUL2025//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FINAL WARNING. REF B IS A \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF C IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION \r\nALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n26.0N 139.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 139.6E, APPROXIMATELY 505 NM \r\nSOUTH OF TOKYO, JAPAN. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\n(EIR) DEPICTS A COMPACT AREA OF DEEP CORE CONVECTION BUILT OVER THE \r\nCENTER OF THE SYSTEM. A 141048Z ASCAT-B PASS REVEALED A SHARP CUSP \r\nFEATURE AND 25-30 KNOT WINDS ISOLATED ALONG THE EASTERN QUADRANTS. \r\nTHIS SMALL SYSTEM IS FORMING WITHIN AN EXTENSIVE SWATH OF ELEVATED \r\n(20-30 KNOT) SOUTHERLY WINDS TRAILING IN THE WAKE OF 06W. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT MOVING FORWARD \r\nWITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 10-15 KNOTS, GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW \r\nALOFT AND WARM (28-29 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. DETERMINISTIC \r\nMODELS SHOW THE SYSTEM FAILING TO CLOSE OFF INTO A DEFINED CIRCULATION \r\nAS IT QUICKLY TRACKS TO THE NORTH, BUT WITH ENHANCED WINDS CONFINED TO \r\nTHE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE. TRACK GUIDANCE IN GOOD AGREEMENT REGARDING THE \r\nTRAJECTORY OF THE SYSTEM WITH MINIMAL SPREAD IN ENSEMBLE MEMBERS. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF C (WTPN21 PGTW 141930) \r\nFOR FURTHER DETAILS. \r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN 1.B.(1) TO HIGH.//"