"ABPW10 PGTW 210600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/210600Z-220600ZMAY2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 4.8N \r\n137.7E, APPROXIMATELY 238 NM SOUTHEAST OF PALAU. ANIMATED ENHANCED \r\nINFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 210432Z ATMS NPP 165.5 GHZ IMAGE DEPICT \r\nA BROAD AREA OF TURNING MOVING INTO A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR \r\nDEVELOPMENT, WITH CONDUCIVE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30C) AND LOW \r\nVERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15KTS). MODERATE TO STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW \r\nALOFT, ENHANCED BY THE FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE \r\nWEST, WILL ALSO SUPPORT THE SYSTEM AS IT MOVES INTO THE PHILIPPINE SEA \r\nOVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN \r\nGOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93W WILL TRACK NORTHWESTWARD WITH SLIGHT \r\nINTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, FOLLOWED BY STEADY \r\nINTENSIFICATION THEREAFTER. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED \r\nAT 13 TO 17 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR \r\n1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."