"ABPW10 PGTW 201200\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/201200Z-210600ZJUL2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/200751ZJUL2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 12.5N \r\n135.0E, APPROXIMATELY 257 NM NORTHWEST OF YAP. ANIMATED ENHANCED \r\nINFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A SMALL AND POORLY ORGANIZED \r\nLOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OBSCURED BY FLARING CONVECTION THAT \r\nIS SHEARED FROM THE WEST AS EVIDENT IN A 200902Z SSMIS PASS. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE \r\nCONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH HIGH (30-40 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR \r\nOFFSET BY WARM (30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND MODERATE EQUATORWARD \r\nOUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT \r\nTHE AREA OF CONVECTION 97W WILL CONTINUE NORTH AS IT GRADUALLY \r\nINTENSIFIES OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE AGREES ON A NORTH \r\nTO NORTHWESTERN TRACK WITH ECENS BEING MORE AGGRESSIVE ON DEVELOPMENT \r\nTHAN THE GEFS.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO \r\n18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. \r\nTHE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1).//"