"ABPW10 PGTW 101530\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/101530Z-110600ZAUG2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/101351ZAUG2024//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 27.0N \r\n154.0E, APPROXIMATELY 700NM EAST OF IWO-TO. ANIMATED ENHANCED \r\nINFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINES WRAPPING \r\nINTO A DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, WITH AN INTENSE REGION OF DEEP \r\nCONVECTION SHEARED ABOUT 35NM TO THE SOUTH. PARTIAL 101141Z AND \r\n100959Z ASCAT-C IMAGES INDICATE AN EXTENSIVE SWATH OF 20-25 KNOT LOW-\r\nLEVEL WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PERIPHERIES OF THE \r\nDISTURBANCE. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE WITH \r\nMODERATE TO HIGH (20-30 KNOTS) NORTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OFFSET \r\nBY VIGOROUS EASTERLY OUTFLOW INTO A TUTT CELL NEAR 29N 158E. SEA \r\nSURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE CONDUCIVE AT 28-30C. ALTHOUGH ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nCONDITIONS WILL REMAIN MARGINAL OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS, GLOBAL MODELS \r\nINDICATE A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR WEAK TROPICAL STORM MAY SPIN UP \r\nAIDED BY THE STRONG LOW-LEVEL FLOW PRESENT. ADDITIONALLY, \r\nENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS MAY IMPROVE BRIEFLY BEFORE THE SYSTEM \r\nTRANSITIONS INTO A SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM TRACKING POLEWARD OVER COOLER \r\nSST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."