"ABPW10 PGTW 120600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/120600Z-130600ZAUG2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/120151ZAUG2024//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n22.1N 135.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 135.9E, APPROXIMATELY 508 NM \r\nEAST-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND \r\nA 112058Z GMI 89GHZ SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN AREA OF PERSISTENT \r\nDEEP CONVECTION OBSCURING A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER \r\n(LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS AN AREA THAT IS FAVORABLE FOR \r\nDEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (28-29C) SST, LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15KTS) \r\nAND GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD \r\nAGREEMENT SHOWING GRADUAL MODEL DEVELOPMENT THAT 91W WILL CONTINUE TO \r\nTRACK NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE \r\nWINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 31.4N \r\n153.2E, APPROXIMATELY 716 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YOKOSUKA. INVEST AREA \r\n95W IS NO LONGER ASSESSED AS A SUBTROPICAL STORM BASED ON MANUAL AND \r\nAUTOMATED PHASE CLASSIFICATION ANALYSES AND HAS BEEN REASSESSED AS A \r\nTROPICAL SYSTEM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) \r\nDEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), WITH \r\nFLARING DEEP CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE SOUTHWEST. ANIMATED WATER \r\nVAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW SITUATED APPROXIMATELY 300NM TO \r\nTHE SOUTH, GENERATING EASTERLY WINDS ALOFT. A 112250Z ASCAT PASS \r\nREVEALED AN ASYMMETRIC WIND FIELD, WITH UP TO 40 KNOT WINDS IN THE \r\nNORTHEAST SECTOR OF THE LLCC, AND A BAND OF ELEVATED, NEAR GALE-FORCE \r\nWINDS EXTENDING FAR TO THE SOUTHEAST. HOWEVER, THE ASCAT PROVES THAT \r\nTHE LLCC HAS BROKEN OFF FROM THE BAND OF STRONG SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERY \r\nFLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON GYRE FLOW. ANALYSIS REVEALS A \r\nMARGINAL ENVIRONMENT, WITH WARM (26-28C) SSTS, GOOD EQUATORWARD \r\nOUTFLOW AND LOW (5-15 KTS) VWS, OFFSET BY THE PRESENCE OF DRY AIR \r\nLYING OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE CIRCULATION. GLOBAL MODELS SUGGESTS \r\nTHAT WHAT WILL BECOME TS 07W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK TOWARDS THE WEST-\r\nNORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND SLOWLY WEAKEN DUE TO THE PRESENCE \r\nOF SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF DRY AIR AND MOVEMENT OVER COOLER WATERS.  \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 37 TO 43 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 990 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."