"ABPW10 PGTW 052100\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/052100Z-060600ZAUG2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n24.0N 134.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24.2N 131.6E, APPROXIMATELY 244 NM \r\nEAST-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB. THE MONSOON GYRE EVENT CONTINUES TO \r\nTHRIVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PHILIPPINE SEA WITH INVEST 91W HANGING ON \r\nAS THE ANCHOR POINT OF A VERY LARGE CYCLONIC ROTATION THAT IS \r\nSTARTING TO CONDENSE, WITH A DIAMETER NOW SLIGHTLY HEDGED OVER \r\n1200NM. INVEST 91W IS TRACKING TOWARDS THE WEST SOUTHWEST AND WILL \r\nCONTINUE TO DO SO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS, WHERE IT WILL EVENTUALLY \r\nBECOME QUASI-STATIONARY JUST SOUTH OF OKINAWA THEN START ITS TREK \r\nEASTWARD, BUT NO SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. \r\nSOME ELEVATED WINDS ARE POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE \r\nCIRCULATION AS INVEST 93W SLIDES DOWN THE WESTERN SIDE AND BECOMES \r\nABSORBED INTO 91W. OVER THE NEXT WEEK OR TWO, THIS GYRE WILL \r\nCONTINUOUSLY PUMP OUT ASYMMETRICAL CIRCULATIONS ALONG THE \r\nSOUTHEASTERN AND EASTERN PERIPHERY IN A BAND OF ELEVATED, NEAR GALE \r\nFORCE WINDS, SUCH AS INVEST 94W CURRENTLY MOVING NORTHWARD FROM THE \r\nFAR SOUTH-EASTERN CORNER OF THE GYRE CIRCULATION. ANY OF THE NOW AND \r\nFUTURE SMALL CIRCULATIONS COULD REACH WARNING CRITERIA BEFORE \r\nWRAPPING UP AND AROUND THE NORTHERN SIDE OF THE GYRE OR MERGING INTO \r\nTHE LARGER ANCHOR CIRCULATION. MULTIPLE INVEST AREAS WILL POP-UP AND \r\nDISAPPEAR DURING THIS EVENT, BUT DUE TO POOR PERFORMANCE OF THE \r\nMODELS IN THIS SCENARIO, JTWC WILL BE IN A MORE REACTIVE MODE, \r\nOPENING AND CLOSING INVESTS AS THE AVAILABLE DATA REVEALS THEIR \r\nEXISTENCE. ACROSS THE SPAN OF THE GYRE, THE ENVIRONMENT IS GENERALLY \r\nFAVORABLE WITH WARM SSTS, GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND RELATIVELY LOW \r\nSHEAR, BUT THE ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT WILL VARY BASED ON THE EXACT \r\nPOSITIONING OF THE INVEST AREAS WITHIN THE GYRE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL \r\nPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 24.6N \r\n140.7E, APPROXIMATELY 655 NM SOUTH OF TOKYO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL \r\nSATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN AREA OF FLARING CONVECTION, WITH THE \r\nCENTRAL CONVECTION BEING SHEARED AND OFFSET NORTHWARD FROM THE LOW \r\nLEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 051607Z AMSR2 89GHZ SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD, POORLY ORGANIZED  BUT DEFINED LLCC. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS AN AREA THAT IS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE \r\nFOR DEVELOPMENT, WITH LOW TO MODERATE (10-20KTS) SOUTHERLY VERTICAL \r\nWIND SHEAR, WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30C), AND GOOD EQUATORWARD \r\nOUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 94W WILL \r\nTRACK MORE NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH THE STRONGER \r\nWINDS CONCENTRATED ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERIES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL \r\nPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS IS MEDIUM.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."