"ABPW10 PGTW 060600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/060600Z-070600ZAUG2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n24.2N 131.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 126.6E, APPROXIMATELY 150 NM \r\nSOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KADENA AB, OKINAWA. THIS VERY LARGE SYSTEM IS \r\nLOCATED WITHIN THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MONSOON GYRE, WHICH \r\nREMAINS ENTRENCHED OVER THE WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC, WITH AN EXTENSIVE \r\nSWATH OF 15-25 KNOT WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS FROM \r\nTHE EAST PHILIPPINE SEA TO ABOUT 145E. SURFACE WINDS ACROSS THIS \r\nREGION RANGE FROM 10-15 KNOTS, REFLECTING THE OVERALL WEAK NATURE OF \r\nTHIS SYSTEM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS SEVERAL \r\nMESOVORTICES (23.1N 126.8E, 25.1N 126.8E, 24.6N 122.7E) ROTATING \r\nCYCLONICALLY AROUND THE CENTROID, WHICH REPRESENTS THE LOW-LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 060442Z AMSR2 36 GHZ COLOR COMPOSITE \r\nMICROWAVE IMAGE INDICATES WEAK CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE, WITH ISOLATED \r\nCONVECTIVE BURSTS OVER THE WESTERN PERIPHERY. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS \r\nINDICATES MARGINAL CONDITIONS, WITH WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT AND LOW TO \r\nMODERATE (10-20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SST VALUES ARE CONDUCIVE \r\n(30-31 C); HOWEVER, EXTENSIVE DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT IS HINDERING \r\nDEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE A QUASI-STATIONARY TRACK MOTION \r\nSOUTH OF OKINAWA OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS WITH NO SIGNIFICANT \r\nDEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO \r\n17 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. \r\nTHE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW. \r\n (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n24.6N 140.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 141.2E, APPROXIMATELY 92 NM \r\nNORTH OF IWO-TO. THIS DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED ALONG THE EASTERN \r\nPERIPHERY OF THE MONSOON GYRE. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC), WITH \r\nFORMATIVE BANDING OVER A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LLC. A 060054Z MHS 89 GHZ \r\nMICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE SOUTHERN \r\nSEMICIRCLE OF THE LLC. SURFACE WINDS FROM IWO-TO INDICATE STEADY \r\nWEST-SOUTHERLY SUSTAINED WINDS AT 10-15 KNOTS WITH A SLP VALUE NEAR \r\n1001 MB AND A 2 MB SLP DECREASE OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nCONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE WITH RADIAL OUTFLOW AND LOW VERTICAL WIND \r\nSHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE A SLOW NORTHWARD TRACK WITH STEADY \r\nCONSOLIDATION OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS ALONG THE \r\nEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MONSOON GYRE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE \r\nWINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."