{"ObservationDate":"2025-03-27T05:00:00","Latitude":-13.8,"Longitude":121.4,"Windspeed":25.0,"Pressure":997.0,"Identifier":"INVEST 93S","PotentialStatus":"HIGH","OriginalBulletin":["ABIO10 PGTW 270500 COR","MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//","SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN ","REISSUED CORRECTED/270500Z-280500ZMAR2025//","REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/261951ZMAR2025//","REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/270721ZMAR2025//","NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE ","FORMATION ALERT.//","RMKS/"," B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."," C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE."," B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:"," (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","14.9S 121.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.8S 121.4E, APPROXIMATELY 252 NM ","NORTH OF BROOME, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY ","(MSI) DEPICTS EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CLOUD LINES WRAPPING INTO A WELL-","DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), WITH VERY INTENSE, DEEP ","PERSISTENT CONVECTION SHEARED OFF TO THE WEST SIDE. A 270142Z ","ASCAT-C BULLSEYE PASS SHOWS A WELL-DEFINED CENTER, WITH A SWATH OF 30 ","KNOT WINDS OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS ","REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH ","MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) OF 20-25 KNOTS, OFFSET BY ","WESTWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) ","OF 30-31 C. OVER THE COURSE OF 48 HOURS, BOTH DETERMINISTIC AND ","ENSEMBLE MODELS AGREE ON THE SYSTEM'S TRACK, INITIALLY MOVING THE ","SYSTEM NORTHEAST BEFORE SHIFTING TO A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK TOWARD THE ","NORTHWESTERN COAST OF AUSTRALIA. CONFIDENCE IN DEVELOPMENT IS SPLIT, ","WITH MOST MODEL MEMBERS REACHING TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. WHILE ECMWF ","AND NAVGEM PREDICT A WEAKER SYSTEM (25-30 KNOTS), THE GFS MODEL ","FORECASTS A STRONGER SYSTEM, POTENTIALLY REACHING WARNING CRITERIA BY ","TAU 18. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 ","KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 997 MB. THE ","POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE ","WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF B (WTXS21 PGTW ","270500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS."," (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS."," C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.","3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1) TO HIGH.","4. JUSTIFICATION FOR CORRECTION: CORRECTED DIRECTION IN REFERENCE TO ","THE COAST OF AUSTRALIA IN PARA. 2.B.(1). UPDATED REF B DTG TO REFLECT ","CORRECTED TCFA MESSAGE.//"]}