"ABPW10 PGTW 220400\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/220400Z-220600ZJUL2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220151ZJUL2025//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220251ZJUL2025//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nFORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n14.6N 133.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 133.2E, APPROXIMATELY 650 NM \r\nSOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AIR BASE, OKINAWA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL \r\nSATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A RAPIDLY CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION (LLC), WITH FORMATIVE BANDING AND LOW-LEVEL CLOUD LINES \r\nWRAPPING INTO THE CENTER. A 220113Z ASCAT-C BULLSEYE IMAGE REVEALS A \r\nBROAD CIRCULATION, WITH PATCHY 20-25 KNOT WINDS OVER THE EASTERN \r\nQUADRANT AND 5-10 KNOT WINDS OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. A 220019Z \r\nMHS 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS FRAGMENTED DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING \r\nAROUND THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY, WITH IMPROVED SHALLOW BANDING WRAPPING \r\nINTO A BROAD CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY \r\nFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KNOTS) VERTICAL \r\nWIND SHEAR OFFSET BY DUAL CHANNEL OUTFLOW. SST VALUES ARE FAVORABLE \r\nAT 30-31C. INVEST 97W HAS FORMED ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF AN \r\nAREA OF BROAD MONSOONAL FLOW AND IS EXPECTED TO TRACK POLEWARD ALONG \r\nTHE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THIS COMPLEX SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 \r\nHOURS. AFTER THIS PERIOD, THE SYSTEM MAY DISSIPATE AND MERGE WITH A \r\nDEVELOPING MONSOON DEPRESSION SOUTH OF OKINAWA. THIS MONSOON \r\nDEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO PRODUCE AN EXTENSIVE SWATH OF GALE-FORCE \r\nWINDS ALONG THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN PERIPHERIES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL \r\nPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW 220300) FOR FURTHER \r\nDETAILS.\r\n      (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.5N \r\n154.0E, APPROXIMATELY 124 NM EAST OF FANANU. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A POORLY ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER \r\n(LLCC) WITH CYCLING OF DEEP CONVECTION SOUTH SOUTH-EAST. A 202355Z \r\nASCAT PASS WITH ITS STRONGEST WINDS (20-25 KTS) ISOLATED TO THE \r\nNORTHWEST. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES FAVORABLE \r\nCONDITIONS WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KTS) ACCOMPANIED BY \r\nWARM (30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW \r\nALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT THE AREA OF \r\nCONVECTION 98W WILL CONTINUE NORTH AS IT GRADUALLY INTENSIFIES OVER \r\nTHE NEXT 48 HOURS. ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE AGREES ON A NORTHWARD TRACK WITH \r\nGEFS BEING MORE AGGRESSIVE ON DEVELOPMENT THAN ECENS. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1) TO \r\nHIGH.//"