{"ObservationDate":"2025-07-21T06:00:00","Latitude":8.5,"Longitude":154.0,"Windspeed":18.0,"Pressure":1008.0,"Identifier":"INVEST 98W","PotentialStatus":"LOW","OriginalBulletin":["ABPW10 PGTW 210600","MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//","SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH ","PACIFIC OCEANS/210600Z-220600ZJUL2025//","REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/210151ZJUL2025//","AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//","RMKS/","   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:","      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","12.5N 135.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 133.3E, APPROXIMATELY 774 NM ","SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) ","DEPICTS A POORLY ORGANIZED, BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ","WITH CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE NORTH EASTERN PERIPHERIES WRAPPING ","INTO THE NORTH WEST QUADRANT. A 210043Z ASCAT PASS REVEALS 15 TO 20 ","KNOT WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE CONVECTIVE BANDING. ENVIRONMENTAL ","ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR ","DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WITH (20-25 KTS) ","VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OFFSET BY WARM (30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND ","MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC ARE IN FAIR ","AGREEMENT THAT THE AREA OF CONVECTION 97W WILL CONTINUE NORTH AS IT ","GRADUALLY INTENSIFIES OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ECENS AND GEFS ENSEMBLE ","GUIDANCE AGREES ON A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK. DETERMINISTIC MODEL ","GUIDANCE INDICATES AN ELEVATED POTENTIAL FOR THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP ","INTO A MONSOON DEPRESSION, CHARACTERIZED BY LARGE SCALE, CYCLONIC ","CIRCULATION, WITH EXTENSIVE GALE-FORCE WINDS OVER THE PERIPHERY AND A ","WEAK CORE OF LIGHT WINDS. AS A RESULT, WHILE THE SYSTEM MOVES ","NORTHWESTWARD, IMPACTS MIGHT BE SEEN AS FAR AS 400-600 NM AWAY FROM ","THE CENTER OF THE CIRCULATION, ALL ALONG THE NORTHERN, EASTERN AND ","SOUTHERN QUADRANTS OF THE SYSTEM.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ","ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ","ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A ","SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO ","MEDIUM.","      (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.5N ","154.0E, APPROXIMATELY 124 NM EAST OF FANANU. MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE ","IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A POORLY ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ","(LLCC) WITH CYCLING OF DEEP CONVECTION SOUTH SOUTH-EAST. A 202355Z ","ASCAT PASS WITH ITS STRONGEST WINDS (20-25 KTS) ISOLATED TO THE ","NORTHWEST. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES FAVORABLE ","CONDITIONS WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-15 KTS) ACCOMPANIED BY ","WARM (30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ","ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT THE AREA OF ","CONVECTION 98W WILL CONTINUE NORTH AS IT GRADUALLY INTENSIFIES OVER ","THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE AGREES ON A NORTHWARD TRACK WITH ","GEFS BEING MORE AGGRESSIVE ON DEVELOPMENT THAN ECENS. MAXIMUM ","SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA ","LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE ","DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 ","HOURS IS LOW.","      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.","   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.","   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.","   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"]}