"ABPW10 PGTW 220600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/220600Z-230600ZAUG2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/220151ZAUG2025//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/212221ZAUG2025//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n16.1N 123.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 122.5E, APPROXIMATELY 18 NM \r\nEAST OF CASIGURAN, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY (MSI) AND A 212053Z GMI 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A \r\nCOMPACT, PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH \r\nPERSISTENT CONVECTION ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT \r\nWITH LOW (10-15 KNOTS) NORTHERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, STRONG \r\nEQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, AND VERY WARM (30-31 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. \r\nTHE DEFINED CIRCULATION IS EXPECTED TO QUICKLY MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE \r\nEASTERN COAST OF LUZON AND EMERGE WITHIN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. \r\nDETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM \r\nWILL TRACK WESTWARD OVER LUZON AND INTENSIFY WITHIN THE SOUTH CHINA \r\nSEA AFTER RECOVERING FROM THE IMMINENT LANDFALL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL \r\nPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nREMAINS HIGH. SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW 212230) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"