"ABPW10 PGTW 140600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/140600Z-150600ZJUL2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n14.0N 112.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 111.1E, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM \r\nEAST-SOUTHEAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY DEPICTS AN EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) NEAR 14.6N 111.2E \r\nEMBEDDED WITHIN A VERY BROAD REGION OF CYCLONIC TURNING, WITH FRAGMENTED \r\nCONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE PERIPHERY. A 132256Z SSMIS 37 GHZ MICROWAVE \r\nIMAGE SHOWS DISORGANIZED CONVECTIVE BANDING WITH NO DISCERNABLE LOW-\r\nLEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A PARTIAL 140217Z ASCAT-B IMAGE REVEALS A \r\nBROAD CORE OF WEAK WINDS (LESS THAN 10 KNOTS), WITH AN EXTENSIVE SWATH \r\nOF 20 TO 25 KNOT WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS DISPLACED OVER 250 NM SOUTH OF \r\nTHE CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT, WITH \r\nINCREASING EAST-NORTHEASTERLY FLOW OVER THE CORE OFFSET SLIGHTLY BY \r\nMODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. HOWEVER, VERTICAL WIND SHEAR REMAINS \r\nMODERATE TO HIGH (20-30 KNOTS), WHICH IS HINDERING CONVECTIVE \r\nDEVELOPMENT. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 29-30 C ARE CONDUCIVE. GLOBAL \r\nMODELS INDICATE A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK TOWARD VIETNAM OVER THE NEXT 36 \r\nHOURS WITH SLOW DEVELOPMENT INTO A WEAK TROPICAL DEPRESSION. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nREMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."