"ABPW10 PGTW 110300\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/110300Z-110600ZJUL2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110151ZJUL2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n24.4N 141.1E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE \r\nPARA. 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n26.4N 126.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 28.9N 126.9E, APPROXIMATELY 162 NM \r\nNORTH-NORTHWEST OF KADENA AB. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS AN ELONGATED AREA OF CYCLONIC TURNING WITH \r\nSPARSE CONVECTION FLARING TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE LOW LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION (LLC). FURTHERMORE, A 101313Z ASCAT METOP-B PASS \r\nEMPHASIZES THE BROAD NATURE OF 92W. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES \r\n92W IS IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM \r\n(29 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, MODERATE TO HIGH (20-25 KTS) WESTERLY \r\nVERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW TO THE EAST OF \r\nTHE SYSTEM. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN FAIR \r\nAGREEMENT ON A NORTHWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS, WITH GFS \r\nBEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE IN TERMS OF INTENSITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL \r\nPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR \r\nTHE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO WARNING \r\nSTATUS.//"