"ABPW10 PGTW 070130\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/070130Z-070600ZSEP2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061951ZSEP2024//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061952ZSEP2024//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE FINAL WARNING//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n7.0N 166.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.2N 163.4E, APPROXIMATELY 1165 NM \r\nEAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\nDEPICTS A HIGHLY DISORGANIZED WAVE IN THE EASTERLIES, WITH FLARING \r\nDEEP CONVECTION ACROSS A BROAD REGION. A 060224Z ATMS 89GHZ MICROWAVE \r\nIMAGE SHOWS NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH ISOLATED, \r\nDISORGANIZED CONVECTION. RECENT SCATTEROMETER IMAGERY SHOWS A WAVE \r\nFEATURE WITH NO CLOSED CIRCULATION AT THIS TIME. ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nCONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE, WITH BROAD EASTERLY DIFFLUENT FLOW AND LOW \r\nVERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 95W \r\nWILL CONTINUE TO TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND GRADUALLY CONSOLIDATE, \r\nWITH A MORE DEFINED, DISCRETE LLC FORMING OVER THE NEXT 36-48 HOURS. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 23.3N \r\n135.7E, APPROXIMATELY 468 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA. THE SYSTEM IS\r\nCURRENTLY CLASSIFIED AS A MONSOON DEPRESSION-LIKE SYSTEM, GENERALLY \r\nCHARACTERIZED AS A LARGE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION, WITH A RADIUS OF \r\nMAXIMUM WINDS GREATER THAN 100NM AND THE HIGHEST WINDS CONFINED TO \r\nTHE PERIPHERY OF THE CIRCULATION AND A WEAK CORE OF LIGHT WINDS. \r\nANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 071910Z SSMIS 91GHZ \r\nSATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD, DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION \r\nCENTER (LLCC) WITH LITTLE TO NO CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nREVEALS THAT INVEST 94W IS IN A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR \r\nDEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW (15-20KTS) VERTICAL \r\nWIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29-30C SST). HOWEVER, GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD \r\nAGREEMENT THAT WHILE INVEST 94W WILL GENERALLY TRACK NORTHWARD AND \r\nTHEN WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS, IT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN VERY \r\nBROAD AND UNDERGO ONLY LIMITED CONSOLIDATION. IN THE EXTENDED RANGE, \r\nGLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THE SYSTEM WILL TURN WEST TOWARDS THE RYUKYU \r\nISLANDS AND DEVELOP SOME ENHANCED WINDS ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN \r\nPERIPHERY OF THE BROAD LLCC. FOR HAZARDS AND WARNINGS, REFERENCE THE \r\nFLEET WEATHER CENTER SAN DIEGO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER \r\nTO LOCAL WMO DESIGNATED FORECAST AUTHORITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE \r\nWINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."