"ABPW10 PGTW 252100\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/252100Z-260600ZAUG2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/251351ZAUG2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 14.3N \r\n123.5E, APPROXIMATELY 148 NM EAST OF MANILA. ANIMATED ENHANCED \r\nINFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS FLARING CONVECTION TO THE \r\nNORTH OF THE POORLY ORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A \r\n251308Z ASCAT IMAGE REVEALS 15-20 KNOT WINDS TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST \r\nPERIPHERY OF 93W, AND A CENTER OF BROAD ROTATION POSITIONED OVER OR \r\nNEAR CATANDUANES ISLAND. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES \r\nFAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (10-\r\n15 KTS), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30 C), AND MODERATE \r\nEQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. PROXIMITY TO LAND AND A HIGHLY TILTED \r\nVORTEX ARE CURRENTLY INHIBITING CONSOLIDATION. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC \r\nMODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT 93W HAS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF \r\nDEVELOPMENT TO THE EAST OF LUZON, BEFORE CROSSING LUZON OVER THE \r\nCOURSE OF THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE MORE SPLIT, WITH \r\nECENS AND GDM, FNV3 FAVORING WEAK DEVELOPMENT EAST OF LUZON, FOLLOWED \r\nBY A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK ACROSS LUZON INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. GEFS \r\nON THE OTHER HAND IS LESS AGGRESSIVE AND FAVORS DEVELOPMENT ON THE \r\nWEST SIDE OF LUZON.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT \r\n13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR \r\n1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1).//"