"ABIO10 PGTW 091400\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/091400Z-091800ZMAR2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n23.4S 41.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.9S 40.4E, APPROXIMATELY 30 NM \r\nNORTH OF EUROPA ISLAND. ANIMATED PROXYVIS SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS\r\nA PARTIALLY-EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH PERSISTENT DEEP\r\nCONVECTION OBSCURING THE NORTHEASTERN QUADRANT. A 091131Z ATMS\r\n88.2 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS SHALLOW BANDING WRAPPING INTO A\r\nWEAK LLC, WITH A CURVED DEEP CONVECTIVE BAND DISPLACED TO THE NORTH.  \r\nSURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM EUROPA ISLAND INDICATE EASTERLY WINDS\r\nAT 12-18 KNOTS, WITH SLP NEAR 1007.0 MB AND A 1 MB SLP DECREASE\r\nOVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE STEADY CONSOLIDATION \r\nAS THE CORE RE-MOISTENS, WITH A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK TOWARD THE \r\nMOZAMBIQUE COAST OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE \r\nWINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO \r\nMEDIUM.\r\n     (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n10.9S 91.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0S 95.3E, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM \r\nWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED PROXYVIS SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\nDEPICTS A BROAD, DISORGANIZED SYSTEM WITH WIDESPREAD AREAS OF FLARING \r\nDEEP CONVECTION. A 091007Z SSMIS 37 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS A \r\nLINEAR BAND OF DISORGANIZED CONVECTION, WITH NO DISCERNIBLE LOW-LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION CENTER. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM THE COCOS ISLANDS \r\n(YPCC) INDICATE STEADY WEST-NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AT 17-22 KNOTS OVER \r\nTHE PAST FEW HOURS, WITH SLP NEAR 1004 MB. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nSHOWS A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH HIGH (30-40KTS) EASTERLY VWS OFFSET \r\nBY BROAD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (SST). GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE AN EASTWARD TRACK OVER THE \r\nNEXT TWO DAYS, WITH A BROAD OVERALL STRUCTURE AND ASSOCIATED ISOLATED \r\nAREAS OF 30-35 KNOT WESTERLY WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 \r\nKNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. \r\nTHE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS."