{"ObservationDate":"2026-01-23T03:00:00","Latitude":-17.5,"Longitude":152.4,"Windspeed":33.0,"Pressure":1004.0,"Identifier":"1","PotentialStatus":"LOW","OriginalBulletin":["ABPW10 PGTW 230300","MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//","SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH ","PACIFIC OCEANS/230300Z-240300ZJAN2026//","REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230151ZJAN2026//","REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/230221ZJAN2026//","NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL ","CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//","RMKS/"," B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."," C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE."," B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:"," (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","17.5S 152.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.3S 154.0E, APPROXIMATELY 425 NM ","EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE ","IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER ","(LLCC). A 222303Z 89H GMI MICROWAVE PASS SHOWED CONVECTION DISPLACED ","WELL TO THE EAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR ","THE AREA INDICATES MARGINAL CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH HIGH ","VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (25-30 KNOTS), WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (27-","28 C), AND CONVERGENT UPPER LEVEL WINDS. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ","ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT 90P HAS ALREADY REACHED ITS PEAK WIND SPEEDS ","WITH GRADUAL DEGRADATION OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. GLOBAL ENSEMBLES ","ARE IN CONCURRENCE WITH THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS ON A NORTHEASTWARD ","TRACK WITH WORSENING ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 24-48 ","HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 ","KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE ","POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN ","THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO LOW."," (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13.2S ","140.4E, APPROXIMATELY 195 NM NORTHEAST OF MORINGTON ISLAND, AUSTRALIA. ","ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A FULLY ","OBSCURED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DEEP CONVENTION ","BUILDING OVER THE CENTER AND VERY WELL DEFINED FORMATIVE BANDING ALONG ","THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION. RADAR IMAGERY FROM AUSTRALIA ","SHOWS A TIGHTENING VORTEX WITH THE LLCC LOCATED NEAR THE NORTHERN ","PERIPHERY OF THE CENTRAL CONVECTION. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS IN THE ","AREA ARE FAVORABLE WITH LOW (10-15KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (28-","29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL ","MODELS AGREE ON CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT IN THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA, WITH ","ECMWF SHOWING THE MOST INTENSIFICATION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ","MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. ","MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE ","POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN ","THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF B (WTPS21 PGTW 230230) ","FOR FURTHER DETAILS"," (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS."," C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.","3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED PARA 2.A.(1) WITH FINAL WARNING ","INFORMATION, DOWNGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO LOW, UPGRADED AREA IN ","PARA 2.B.(2).//"]}