"ABPW10 PGTW 161600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/161600Z-170600ZJUL2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/151951ZJUL2025//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/161551ZJUL2025//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING AND REF B IS A TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n14.1N 131.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 129.2E, APPROXIMATELY 320 NM \r\nEAST OF LEGAZPI. ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A SLOWLY \r\nCONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) OBSCURED BY FLARING \r\nCONVECTION WITH CONVECTIVE BANDING BUILDING NEAR THE CENTER. A PARTIAL \r\n161155Z ASCAT PASS REVEALS A BROAD AND ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH ITS \r\nSTRONGEST WINDS TO THE WEST. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA \r\nINDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE \r\n(15-20 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES AND MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL \r\nDETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THAT THE AREA OF CONVECTION \r\n96W WILL CONTINUE WEST NORTHWEST AS IT GRADUALLY INTENSIFIES OVER THE \r\nNEXT 24 HOURS. ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE AGREES ON A SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK WITH \r\nECENS BEING MORE AGGRESSIVE ON DEVELOPMENT THAN THE GEFS. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nIS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW 161600) FOR FURTHER \r\nDETAILS.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1) TO \r\nHIGH.//"