"ABPW10 PGTW 171600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/REISSUED/171600Z-180600ZJUL2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/171551ZJUL2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED\r\nNEAR 13.8N 129.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 125.9E, APPROXIMATELY\r\n306NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY \r\nCLASSIFIED AS A MONSOON DEPRESSION, GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED AS A LARGE \r\nCYCLONIC CIRCULATION, GREATER THAN 600NM DIAMETER, WITH NEAR GALE-\r\nFORCE WINDS OVER THE EASTERN PERIPHERY AND A WEAK CORE OF LIGHT WINDS. \r\nANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD, \r\nSLOWLY CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION, \r\nMULTIPLE MESOVORTICES ROTATING CYCLONICALLY, AND EXTENSIVE CONVECTIVE \r\nBANDING OVER THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN PERIPHERIES WRAPPING INTO THE \r\nNORTHWEST QUADRANT. A 170958Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE PASS DISPLAYS \r\nFRAGMENTED BANDING WRAPPING AROUND THE BROAD CENTER. A PARTIAL 171225Z \r\nASCAT-C PASS INDICATES A BROAD CENTER WITH 25-30 KNOTS ALONG THE \r\nEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SEMI-CIRCLE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A \r\nMARGINAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL \r\nWIND SHEAR (VWS) 20-25 KNOTS, GOOD POLEWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, AND \r\nWARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) OF 30-31C. DETERMINISTIC AND \r\nENSEMBLE MODELS MAINTAIN A BROAD, DISORGANIZED STRUCTURE WITH A \r\nNORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH TAU 24. THE MODELS CONSOLIDATE THE SYSTEM \r\nINTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE, WITH 35-45 KNOT WINDS OVER THE NEXT 12-24 \r\nHOURS. FOR HAZARDS AND WARNINGS, REFERENCE THE FLEET WEATHER CENTER \r\nSAN DIEGO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL WMO DESIGNATED \r\nFORECAST AUTHORITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT \r\n30 TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 996 \r\nMB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW \r\n161700) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REISSUED THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION \r\nALERT FOR INVEST 96W.//"