"ABPW10 PGTW 180600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/180600Z-190600ZJUL2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n16.4N 125.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 123.8E, APPROXIMATELY 252 NM \r\nNORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED AS \r\nA MONSOON DEPRESSION, GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED AS A LARGE CYCLONIC \r\nCIRCULATION, GREATER THAN 600NM DIAMETER, WITH GALE-FORCE WINDS OVER \r\nTHE SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY AND A WEAK CORE OF LIGHT WINDS. ANIMATED \r\nMULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD, CONSOLIDATING LOW \r\nLEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH IMPROVED CONVECTIVE CURVED BANDING \r\nWRAPPING INTO A BROAD LLCC. A PARTIAL 180052Z METOP-C ASCAT PASS \r\nREVEALS A LARGE CORE OF WEAK WINDS (APPROXIMATELY 200NM DIAMETER) \r\nSURROUNDED BY A BAND OF 30-35 KNOT WINDS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nDEPICTS LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) OF 15-20 KNOTS, GOOD \r\nEQUATORWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES \r\n(SST) OF 30-31C. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS FORECAST A MORE \r\nDEFINED, CONSOLIDATED STRUCTURE WITH A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH TAU \r\n18 AND INCREASING SUSTAINED WINDS OF GENERALLY 35-45 KNOTS. HOWEVER, \r\nSOME MODELS SUGGEST SUSTAINED WINDS AS HIGH AS 50 KNOTS THROUGH THE \r\nNEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. FOR HAZARDS AND WARNINGS, REFERENCE THE FLEET \r\nWEATHER CENTER SAN DIEGO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL \r\nWMO DESIGNATED FORECAST AUTHORITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE \r\nESTIMATED AT 30 TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO \r\nBE NEAR 990 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF A \r\n(WTPN21 PGTW 171600) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"