"ABPW10 PGTW 310600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/310600ZAUG2024-010600ZSEP2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/310151ZAUG2024//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 10.7N \r\n131.1E, APPROXIMATELY 290 NM NORTHWEST OF PALAU. ANIMATED \r\nMULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN AREA OF BROAD CYCLONIC \r\nTURNING, WITH EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS AND MULTIPLE WEAK SPINNERS. \r\nA 310356Z ATMS 88.2 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS LIMITED, FORMATIVE \r\nCONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE SOUTHERN QUADRANT. UPPER AIR DATA FROM \r\nPALAU INDICATES VIGOROUS (20-25 KNOTS) SOUTHERLY FLOW ABOVE THE \r\nGRADIENT LEVEL, ALONG THE EASTERN FLANK OF THE SYSTEM. UPPER-LEVEL \r\nCONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KNOTS) \r\nVERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND BROAD DIFFLUENCE. GLOBAL MODELS SHOW A WEST-\r\nNORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS WITH ECMWF \r\nAGGRESSIVELY DEVELOPING A TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) IN THE NEXT 24-36 \r\nHOURS WHILE GFS IS LESS AGGRESSIVE SHOWING TD DEVELOPMENT IN 2-3 DAYS. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."