"ABPW10 PGTW 010600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/010600Z-020600ZSEP2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n12.0N 126.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 125.8E, APPROXIMATELY 303 NM \r\nEAST-SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL \r\nSATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN EXPOSED, WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FORMATIVE BANDING OVER THE WESTERN AND \r\nNORTHERN PERIPHERIES. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE WITH GOOD \r\nPOLEWARD AND EQUATORWARD DIVERGENCE ALOFT, LOW (10-15 KNOTS) VERTICAL \r\nWIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL \r\nDETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS SHOW A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO \r\nNORTHWESTWARD TRACK AS THE SYSTEM PARALLELS THE EASTERN COAST OF THE \r\nPHILIPPINES, WITH ECMWF AND GFS AGGRESSIVELY FAVORING DEVELOPMENT OVER \r\nTHE NEXT 12-24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT \r\n20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR \r\n1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."