"ABPW10 PGTW 250600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/250600Z-260600ZSEP2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/250151ZSEP2024//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n14.2N 149.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 149.3E, APPROXIMATELY 209 NM EAST \r\nOF SAIPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A PARTIALLY \r\nEXPOSED LLCC WITH FLARING CONVECTION TO THE EAST. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nINDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE AREA FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM, \r\nCONDUCIVE SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C), GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW \r\nALOFT, AND LOW TO MODERATE (15-20KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.  GLOBAL \r\nMODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK \r\nNORTHWEST WITH STEADY INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 12-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nIS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."