"ABPW10 PGTW 050600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/050600Z-060600ZSEP2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/050151ZSEP2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n17.3N 119.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 118.9E, APPROXIMATELY 373 NM \r\nSOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) \r\nDEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING CIRCULATION CENTER THAT IS OBSCURED BY FLARING \r\nCONVECTION. 050133Z AND 050223Z ASCAT IMAGES REVEAL AN ELONGATED \r\nCIRCULATION WITH A SWATH OF ELEVATED WINDS (15-20 KTS) ALONG THE EASTERN \r\nSIDE OF THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE AREA INDICATES A \r\nFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KTS) \r\nVERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND \r\nMODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. ENSEMBLES ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT \r\n97W WILL TRACK NORTHWESTWARD FROM THE WESTERN COASTLINE OF LUZON TOWARDS \r\nMAINLAND CHINA AND CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nIS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"