"ABPW10 PGTW 141930\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED 141930Z-150600ZSEP2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/141351ZSEP2024//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13.0N \r\n143.1E, APPROXIMATELY 106 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM. \r\nANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD, ELONGATED \r\nAREA OF TURNING OBSCURED BY FLARING, DISORGANIZED, DEEP CONVECTION. THE \r\nPOSITION IS BASED ON THE CENTROID OF THE BROAD CIRCULATION AND \r\nEXTRAPOLATED FROM SURFACE WIND OBSERVATIONS ON GUAM. ANALYSIS INDICATES \r\n97W IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT IN A NARROW ZONE WITH \r\nLOW TO MODERATE (10-20 KNOT) VWS, STRONG DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND VERY WARM \r\n(29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THAT 97W WILL \r\nBECOME ONE OF TWO VORTICES ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF AN EVOLVING \r\nMONSOON DEPRESSION (MD) THAT EXTENDS FROM THE NORTHERN PHILIPPINE SEA \r\nINTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. 97W WILL GENERALLY TRACK NORTH- TO \r\nNORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIMETER OF THE MD. ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS ARE \r\nFAVORABLE, THE LACK OF A DISTINCT, CONSOLIDATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION \r\nCENTER AT THIS TIME WILL SERVE TO LIMIT THE POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."