"ABPW10 PGTW 141930\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED 141930Z-150600ZSEP2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/141351ZSEP2024//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR\r\n13.0N 143.1E, APPROXIMATELY 106 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AFB, GUAM. \r\nANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD, ELONGATED \r\nAREA OF TURNING OBSCURED BY FLARING, DISORGANIZED, FLARING DEEP \r\nCONVECTION. THE POSITION IS BASED ON THE CENTROID OF THE BROAD \r\nCIRCULATION AND EXTRAPOLATED FROM SURFACE WIND OBSERVATIONS ON GUAM. \r\nANALYSIS INDICATES 97W IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT IN A \r\nNARROW ZONE WITH LOW TO MODERATE (10-20 KNOT) VWS, STRONG DIVERGENCE \r\nALOFT AND VERY WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS \r\nINDICATE THAT 97W WILL BECOME ONE OF TWO VORTICES ALONG THE EASTERN \r\nPERIPHERY OF AN EVOLVING MONSOON DEPRESSION (MD) THAT EXTENDS FROM THE \r\nNORTHERN PHILIPPINE SEA INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. 97W WILL GENERALLY \r\nTRACK NORTH- TO NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE PERIMETER OF THE MD. ALTHOUGH \r\nCONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE, THE LACK OF A DISTINCT, CONSOLIDATED LOW LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION CENTER AT THIS TIME WILL SERVE TO LIMIT THE POTENTIAL \r\nDEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 \r\nKNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."