{"ObservationDate":"2024-09-15T16:00:00","Latitude":14.0,"Longitude":143.0,"Windspeed":20.0,"Pressure":998.0,"Identifier":"INVEST 97W","PotentialStatus":"MEDIUM","OriginalBulletin":["ABPW10 PGTW 151600","MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//","SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH ","PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/151600Z-160600ZSEP2024//","REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/151351ZSEP2024//","AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//","RMKS/","   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:","      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","13.0N 143.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 143.0E, APPROXIMATELY 105 NM ","WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY ","SHOWS A BELT OF SCATTERED CONVECTION FLARING ACROSS THE PHILIPPINE ","SEA, FROM THE PHILIPPINES TO THE SOUTHERN MARIANAS. EXPOSED LOW LEVEL ","CLOUDS NEAR GUAM ARE DRIFTING CYCLONICALLY, CONSISTENT WITH SURFACE ","WEATHER OBSERVATIONS FROM GUAM AND SCATTEROMETRY DATA DEPICTING BROAD ","CYCLONIC TURNING. EXISTING DEEP CONVECTION IS CHAOTIC AND STRONGLY ","SHEARED BY NORTHEASTERLY WINDS IN THE UPPER LEVELS. A 150347Z AMSR2 ","IMAGE FURTHER REVEALS WEAK AND VERY FRAGMENTED BANDING, WITH NOTHING ","WELL DEFINED AT PRESENT. HOWEVER, GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE IN THIS ","VICINITY AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE BECOMING CONSOLIDATED IMMEDIATELY ","WEST OF THE MARIANAS AS A WESTERLY WIND BURST CAUSES SPIKING ","VORTICITY VALUES ALONG THE CONVECTIVELY ACTIVE MONSOON TROUGH. MODEL ","GUIDANCE VARIES IN HOW QUICKLY OR DEEPLY TO DEVELOP THE AREA OF ","CONCENTRATED PRESSURE FALLS, BUT THERE IS CONSISTENTLY FAIR AGREEMENT ","THAT IT WILL TRACK AWAY FROM THE MARIANAS AND HEAD GENERALLY NORTH ","AND EVENTUALLY NORTHWESTWARD UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCES OF A ","SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. CURRENT GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THE SYSTEM MAY BECOME ","PART OF A MUCH LARGER REGION OF BROAD CYCLONIC TROUGHING. MAXIMUM ","SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA ","LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE ","DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 ","HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.","      (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 17.0N ","126.0E, APPROXIMATELY 322 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ","ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A DEFINED, ","PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, WITH PERSISTENT DEEP ","CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. A 151232Z ASCAT-C BULLSEYE ","IMAGE REVEALS A DEFINED CIRCULATION, WITH PREDOMINANTLY 15-20 KNOT ","WINDS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ","ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-20 KNOTS) NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL ","WIND SHEAR AND BROAD DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE A ","SLOW WESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD TRACK TOWARD LUZON WITH GRADUAL ","DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO ","20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. ","THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE ","WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM.","      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.","   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."]}