"ABPW10 PGTW 180600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/180600Z-190600ZSEP2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/180151ZSEP2024//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/180151ZSEP2024//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nFORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n15.9N 110.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 110.4E, APPROXIMATELY 126 NM EAST \r\nOF DA NANG. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS \r\nPERSISTENT CONVECTION WITH NO DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. GLOBAL \r\nMODELS INDICATE THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK NORTHWESTWARD, EMERGING \r\nOVER NORTHERN VIETNAM OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS \r\nREVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW \r\nVERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 10-15 KNOTS, WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM \r\nSEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 30-31 DEGREES C. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE \r\nWINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 992 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE \r\nREF B (WTPN22 PGTW 180200) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n16.0N 114.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 114.6E, APPROXIMATELY 378 NM \r\nWEST-NORTHWEST OF MANILA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) \r\nDEPICTS A OBSCURED CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH FLARING \r\nCONVECTION BEGINNING TO CONSOLIDATE AS WELL. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THE \r\nSYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD, EMERGING OVER NORTHERN VIETNAM \r\nOVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A FAVORABLE \r\nENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OF 10-\r\n15 KNOTS, WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF \r\n30-31 DEGREES C. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO \r\n18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. \r\nTHE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."