{"ObservationDate":"2024-09-15T20:00:00","Latitude":17.2,"Longitude":125.7,"Windspeed":20.0,"Pressure":1002.0,"Identifier":"INVEST 98W","PotentialStatus":"MEDIUM","OriginalBulletin":["ABPW10 PGTW 152000","MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//","SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH ","PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/152000Z-160600ZSEP2024//","REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/151351ZSEP2024//","REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/151951ZSEP2024//","NARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. REF B IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE ","FORMATION ALERT.//","RMKS/","   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:","      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","17.0N 126.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 144.2E, APPROXIMATELY 32 NM ","WEST-NORTHWEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY ","DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF DISORGANIZED, DEEP, FRAGMENTED, AND FLARING ","CONVECTION THAT ARE OBSCURING THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). ","ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (10-15 ","KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, STRONG EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, AND VERY WARM ","(29-30 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. RECENT SCATTEROMETRY DATA INDICATE ","AN EXPANSIVE WIND FIELD WITH THE STRONGER WINDS ALONG THE NORTHEAST- ","TO EASTERN PERIPHERIES. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE A NORTHWARD TRACK AWAY ","FROM THE MARIANAS AND EVENTUALLY NORTHWESTWARD AROUND THE PERIMETER OF ","AN EVOLVING GYRE-LIKE PATTERN THAT WILL EVENTUALLY EXTEND FROM THE ","NORTHERN PHILIPPINE SEA TO THE SOUTH CHINA, DOTTED BY AT LEAST THREE ","VORTICES, INCLUDING 97W. A STEADY INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 12-36 ","HOURS IS EXPECTED WITH WINDS AWAY FROM THE LLC AND NOT NECESSARILY ","ASSOCIATED WITH CENTRAL WIND SPEED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED ","SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL ","PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE ","DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS ","IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF B (WTPN21 PGTW 152000) FOR FURTHER ","DETAILS.","      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","17.0N 126.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 125.7E, APPROXIMATELY 312 NM ","EAST-NORTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED ","SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A DEFINED, PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL ","CIRCULATION, WITH PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHWEST ","QUADRANT. A 151232Z ASCAT-C BULLSEYE IMAGE REVEALS A DEFINED ","CIRCULATION, WITH PREDOMINANTLY 15-20 KNOT WINDS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS ","INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE (15-","20 KNOTS) NORTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND BROAD DIFFLUENT FLOW ","ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE A SLOW WESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD TRACK ","TOWARD LUZON WITH GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ","ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ","ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A ","SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM.","      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.","   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."]}