"ABPW10 PGTW 041400\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/041400Z-050600ZOCT2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031953ZOCT2024//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 11.8N \r\n148.6E, APPROXIMATELY 112 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM. ENHANCED INFRARED \r\nSATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER \r\nOBSCURED BY SCATTERED FLARING CONVECTION DIRECTLY OVERTOP OF AND \r\nSURROUNDING THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES 99W IS IN A \r\nFAVORABLE AREA FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES, LOW (10-15 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND MODERATE POLEWARD \r\nOUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 99W WILL CONTINUE \r\nA NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY TRACK IVO THE MARIANAS OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM \r\nSEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS \r\nLOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."