"ABPW10 PGTW 050600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/050600Z-060600ZOCT2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n11.8N 148.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 147.5E, APPROXIMATELY 169 NM \r\nEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 050324Z \r\nAMSR2 89GHZ SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN AREA OF FLARING\r\nCONVECTION, WITH FRAGMENTED RAIN BANDS BEGINNING TO ORGANIZE AROUND \r\nTHE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANAYSIS REVEALS THAT INVEST 99W IS IN A MARGINALLY \r\nFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT, WITH WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES, GOOD EQUATORWARD DIVERGENCE ALOFT, AND LOW (5-10KTS) \r\nVERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST \r\n99W WILL GENERALLY TRACK NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. \r\nMINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."