{"ObservationDate":"2024-10-05T19:30:00","Latitude":15.2,"Longitude":146.6,"Windspeed":23.0,"Pressure":1005.0,"Identifier":"INVEST 99W","PotentialStatus":"HIGH","OriginalBulletin":["ABPW10 PGTW 051930","MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//","SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH ","PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/051930Z-060600ZOCT2024//","REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/051921ZOCT2024//","AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//","RMKS/","   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:","      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR ","11.8N 148.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 146.6E, APPROXIMATELY 132 NM ","NORTHEAST OF GUAM. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A ","CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH MODERATE FLARING ","CONVECTION IN THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE SYSTEM. A 051409Z OSCAT3 ","SCATTEROMETER PASS REVEALS MODERATE TO STRONG (25-30 KNOTS) WINDS IN THE ","NORTHERN QUADRANT DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED ASSOCIATED ","CONVECTION, HOWEVER, 15-20 KNOT WINDS HAVE CONTINUED TO LOOSELY WRAP INTO ","THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OVER THE PAST 24-36 HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL ","ANALYSIS INDICATED THAT 99W IS IN AN OVERALL MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT FOR ","FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, WEAK ","RADIAL OUTFLOW, AND LOW TO MODERATE (15 TO 20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ","(VWS). THE ECMWF AND GFS ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 99W ","WILL GENERALLY TRACK NORTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. GLOBAL ","DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH 99W TRACKING NORTHWARD ","WITH SLOW AND STEADY INTENSIFICATION IN THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS TO 23-28 ","KNOTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. ","MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL ","FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 ","HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 051930) FOR FURTHER ","DETAILS.","      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.","   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."]}