"ABPW10 PGTW 200030\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/200030Z-200600ZSEP2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/190751ZSEP2024//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/191951ZSEP2024//\r\nNARR/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING AND B IS A TROPICAL \r\nCYCLONE WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n20.1N 129.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 127.6E, APPROXIMATELY 404 NM \r\nNORTH OF TAIPEI, TAIWAN. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\nDEPICTS ENHANCED SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ALONG THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF A \r\nSLOWLY CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), WITH THE \r\nCONVECTION PRIMARILY OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nCONDITIONS ARE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE WITH MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW \r\nALOFT, LOW TO MODERATE (15 TO 20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM \r\n(30-31 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES CREATING A CONDUCIVE AREA FOR \r\nFURTHER DEVELOPMENT MOVING FORWARD. GFS IS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE MODEL \r\nAT THIS TIME INDICATING A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK TOWARD TAIWAN, WITH \r\nSTEADY INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED \r\nSURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL \r\nPRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nIS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."