"ABPW10 PGTW 140600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/140600Z-150600ZSEP2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n12.4N 125.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.6N 122.2E, APPROXIMATELY 95.6 NM \r\nSOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION TRANSITING WESTWARD \r\nACROSS THE PHILIPPINES TOWARDS THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINAL CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL \r\nWIND SHEAR (10-15 KTS) OFFSET BY LAND INTERACTION WITH THE PHILIPPINES \r\nAND WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN \r\nAGREEMENT THAT 98W WILL MOVE WESTWARD OVER THE PHILIPPINES WITH LITTLE \r\nDEVELOPMENT. ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE ALSO IN FAIR AGREEMENT WITH ECENS \r\nSHOWING MORE MEMBERS FORMING IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA COMPARED TO GEFS. \r\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM \r\nSEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR \r\nTHE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 \r\nHOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"