"ABPW10 PGTW 150600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/150600Z-160600ZSEP2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n13.6N 122.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 117.9E, APPROXIMATELY 615 NM \r\nEAST-SOUTHEAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A POORLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH \r\nFLARING CONVECTION IN THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PERIPHERIES. A 150217Z \r\nMETOP-C ASCAT PASS REVEALED A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH 10-15 KT \r\nWINDS WRAPPING FROM THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE SYSTEM. ENVIRONMENTAL \r\nANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH \r\nLOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5-10 KTS), AND WARM (29-30 C) SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES, OFFSET BY WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND THE BROAD \r\nNATURE OF THE WIND FIELD. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT \r\nTHAT 98W WILL PROPAGATE NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE SOUTH CHINA SEA WITH \r\nLITTLE DEVELOPMENT. ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE ALSO IN AGREEMENT ON A \r\nNORTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH ECENS BEING MORE \r\nAGGRESSIVE WITH THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE \r\nWINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"