"ABPW10 PGTW 151200\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/151200Z-160600ZSEP2025//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n12.0N 117.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 116.3E, APPROXIMATELY 515 NM \r\nEAST-SOUTHEAST OF DA NANG, VIETNAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A POORLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH \r\nFLARING CONVECTION IN THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PERIPHERIES. A 150217Z \r\nMETOP-C ASCAT PASS REVEALED A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH 10-15 \r\nKT WINDS WRAPPING FROM THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE SYSTEM. \r\nENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR \r\nDEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5-10 KTS), AND WARM (29-30 \r\nC) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, OFFSET BY WEAK EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT \r\nAND THE BROAD NATURE OF THE WIND FIELD. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC MODELS \r\nARE IN AGREEMENT THAT 98W WILL PROPAGATE NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE \r\nSOUTH CHINA SEA WITH LITTLE DEVELOPMENT. ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE ALSO IN \r\nAGREEMENT ON A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH ECENS \r\nBEING MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH THE INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nREMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 13.7N \r\n125.2E, APPROXIMATELY 90 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF LEGAZPI. ANIMATED \r\nENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION WITH SLIGHT CONVECTION JUST SOUTH OF THE CENTER. 99W \r\nCURRENTLY SITS WITHIN A MUCH BROADER OVERALL AREA OF CYCLONIC TURNING \r\nTHROUGHOUT THE PHILIPPINES SEA. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES A \r\nMODERATELY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH WARM (30 C) SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES, MODERATE EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, AND LOW (10-15 KTS) \r\nVERTICAL WIND SHEAR IMPACTING THE SYSTEM FROM THE NORTHWEST. GLOBAL \r\nDETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON A \r\nNORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AS 99W CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY ALONG THE \r\nCOAST OF LUZON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO \r\n18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. \r\nTHE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA 1.B.(2).//"