"ABPW10 PGTW 160330\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/160330Z-170330ZSEP2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/160321ZSEP2025//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n13.7N 125.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 124.7E, APPROXIMATELY 219 NM \r\nEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\n(MSI) DEPICTS A CONSOLIDATING LOWER LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH \r\nBANDING CONVECTION. A 152219Z SSMIS F16 91GHZ MICROWAVE PASS REVEALS \r\nBROAD, FRAGMENTED BANDING. A RECENT 160106Z ASCAT-B 25KM IMAGE DEPICTS \r\nA SWATH OF HIGH WINDS IN THE GRADIENT WITH A SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE \r\nTO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES \r\nFAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) \r\nOF 10-15 KNOTS, GOOD EQUATORWARD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW, AND WARM SEA \r\nSURFACE TEMPERATURES OF 29-30C. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS \r\nDEPICT INTENSIFICATION WITH A NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK TOWARD LUZON, \r\nPHILIPPINES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 \r\nKNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO HIGH. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 160330) \r\nFOR FURTHER DETAILS.\r\n (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1) TO HIGH.//"