"ABPW10 PGTW 170600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/170600Z-180600ZOCT2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 15.7N \r\n143.5E, APPROXIMATELY 151 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED \r\nMULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING AREA OF \r\nTURNING OBSCURED BY FLARING CONVECTION OVER THE CENTER OF THE LOW-LEVEL \r\nCIRCULATION (LLC). A 162330Z ASCAT-B IMAGE REVEALS A POORLY ORGANIZED LLC \r\nWITH SLIGHTLY ELEVATED (15-20 KTS) WINDS IN THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY, \r\nASSOCIATED WITH THE PREVAILING EASTERLIES. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES \r\nA FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL \r\nWIND SHEAR AND MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. VERY WARM SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES (31 C) WILL ALSO AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM MOVING \r\nFORWARD. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT \r\nON A SOUTHWESTERLY TRACK MOVING TOWARDS THE PHILIPPINE SEA OVER THE NEXT \r\n24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 \r\nKNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"