"ABPW10 PGTW 180600\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS/180600Z-190600ZOCT2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n15.7N 143.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 136.9E, APPROXIMATELY 461 NM WEST-\r\nNORTHWEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A \r\nCONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) OBSCURED BY FLARING CONVECTION \r\nOVER THE CENTER. A 180004Z ASCAT-C IMAGE REVEALS AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION \r\nWITH SLIGHTLY ELEVATED (15-20 KTS) WINDS IN THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY \r\nBEGINNING TO WRAP INTO THE SYSTEM. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A \r\nFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND \r\nSHEAR AND GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. VERY WARM (30-31 C) SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES AND AN INCREASINGLY MOIST ENVIRONMENT WILL ALSO AID IN THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM MOVING FORWARD. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND \r\nENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON A WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY TRACK OVER \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO \r\n20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE \r\nPOTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN \r\nTHE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//"