"ABIO10 PGTW 221500\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/221500Z-221800ZMAY2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221351ZMAY2024//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n12.5N 81.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.0N 83.6E, APPROXIMATELY 204 NM EAST-\r\nNORTHEAST OF CHENNAI. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY \r\nDEPICTS A HIGHLY BROAD CIRCULATION AREA OFFSHORE OF CHENNAI, INDIA WITH \r\nSPOTTY CONVECTION. A MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION IS OBSERVED DISPLACED 250 TO \r\n300 NM EAST OF THE SURFACE CIRCULATION, INDICATING A DISORGANIZED \r\nSYSTEM. A 211523Z ASCAT PASS SHOWS A LARGE ELLIPTICAL AREA OF TURNING \r\nWITH AN ASYMMETRIC WIND FIELD, CONSISTING OF LIGHT EASTERLIES TO THE \r\nNORTH AND A MONSOONAL WESTERLY WIND BURST SOUTH OF SRI LANKA WITH 25-30 \r\nKT WINDS THAT ARE NOT DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE CIRCULATION AT THIS \r\nTIME. CURRENT ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS FAVORABLE CONDITIONS WITH \r\nWEAK (<15 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE \r\nTEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 99B WILL GET \r\nUSHERED EASTWARD BY THE WESTERLY WIND BURST AND THEN HOOK NORTHWARD \r\nOVER THE EASTERN BAY OF BENGAL OVER THE NEXT 72 HOURS, GRADUALLY \r\nCONSOLIDATING INTO A MONSOON DEPRESSION. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE \r\nWINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS \r\nESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A \r\nSIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."