"ABIO10 PGTW 241800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/241800Z-\r\n251800ZMAY2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n13.6N 86.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 89.4E, APPROXIMATELY 327 NM SOUTH-\r\nSOUTHEAST OF KOLKATA, INDIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE \r\nIMAGERY SHOWS A BROAD, DISORGANIZED SYSTEM WITH FLARING, INTENSE \r\nCONVECTIVE BURSTS. A 241511Z MHS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICTS \r\nFRAGMENTED DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A \r\nBROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, WITH NO CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE \r\nNORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. SEVERAL BUOY OBSERVATIONS (23093, 23092, 23091) \r\nNEAR THE CENTER INDICATE WEAK 5-10 KNOT WINDS WITH SLP VALUES AT 997 MB; \r\nADDITIONAL OBSERVATIONS WITHIN THE DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING SHOW 20-25 \r\nKNOT WINDS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINALLY FAVORABLE \r\nCONDITIONS, WITH ROBUST EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, WEAK POLEWARD OUTFLOW, LOW \r\nTO MODERATE (15-20 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND WARM (30-31 C) SST. \r\nGLOBAL MODELS INDICATE A NORTHWARD TRACK TOWARD BANGLADESH WITH STEADY \r\nINTENSIFICATION: HOWEVER, GFS IS MORE AGGRESSIVE ON DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 996 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS \r\nREMAINS MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE."