"ABIO10 PGTW 040230\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN \r\nREISSUED/040230Z-041800ZAPR2024//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n9.3S 122.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.2S 121.0E, APPROXIMATELY 596 NM WEST-\r\nNORTHWEST OF DARWIN. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 2303Z GMI 89GHZ \r\nSATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF DENSE, PERSISTENT CONVECTION \r\nWITH FRAGMENTED RAIN BANDS BEGINNING TO ORGANIZE INTO A MORE SYMMETRIC \r\nCIRCULATION. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES A FAVORABLE AREA FOR \r\nDEVELOPMENT, WITH WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30C), LOW VERTICAL WIND \r\nSHEAR (10-15 KTS), AIDED WITH ROBUST UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE. GLOBAL \r\nMODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT, WITH ALL MODELS FORECASTING 96S TO STEADILY HEAD \r\nSOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THEN SLIGHTLY ADJUSTING \r\nCOURSE TO TRACK SOUTHWARDS FROM THE NEXT 24 HOURS TO 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM \r\nSUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 22 TO 28 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA \r\nLEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE \r\nDEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS \r\nUPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS."