"ABIO10 PGTW 051800\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN/051800Z-\r\n061800ZAPR2024//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/041851Z2024//\r\nAMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n10.5S 119.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.7S 119.3E, APPROXIMATELY 681 NM WEST \r\nOF DARWIN. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A \r\nBROAD AREA OF CONVECTION, DEEPENING AND CONSOLIDATING AROUND THE LOW \r\nLEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLC). THE SYSTEM IS UNDER A FAVORABLE \r\nENVIRONMENT WITH LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) (10-15 KTS) \r\nCOUPLED WITH GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM (30C) SST. GLOBAL MODELS ARE \r\nIN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 96S WILL CONTINUE TO CONSOLIDATE AND TRACK \r\nSOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, OFF THE NORTHWESTERN COAST OF \r\nAUSTRALIA. INTENSITY GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THE SYSTEM MAY RAPIDLY INTENSIFY \r\nIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS, AS IT TAKES ADVANTAGE OF THE ROBUST POLEWARD \r\nOUTFLOW AND WARM SSTS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT \r\n28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 \r\nMB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE \r\nWITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF A (WTXS21 PGTW 041900) FOR \r\nFURTHER DETAILS.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS."