"ABPW10 PGTW 222200\r\nMSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//\r\nSUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH \r\nPACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/222200Z-230600ZSEP2025//\r\nREF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221951ZSEP2025//\r\nREF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/221952ZSEP2025//\r\nNARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//\r\nRMKS/\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:\r\n      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR \r\n10.4N 139.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.1N 138.2E, APPROXIMATELY 94 NM \r\nNORTH OF YAP. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) \r\nDEPICTS PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION WITH RAIN BANDS BEGINNING TO \r\nORGANIZE. IT ALSO SHOWS A SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION \r\nCENTER (LLCC).  THE ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM \r\nSEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (29-30 C) AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR \r\n(15-20 KTS), AND GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC \r\nMODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 92W WILL INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 48 \r\nHOURS WITH GFS BEING THE MOST INTENSE. GLOBAL ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN \r\nAGREEMENT AS WELL THAT 92W WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD AND \r\nINTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE \r\nESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED \r\nTO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT \r\nTROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.\r\n      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.\r\n3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO \r\nMEDIUM.//"